So Far, So Good As Little Activity In Atlantic Ocean

2018 hurricane season predictions are holding.

The tropical Atlantic has at long last showed faint signs of life in the past few days, breaking a nearly month-long streak of inactivity, according to the Tallahassee Democrat. The good news is this has occurred in a way that is no threat to any landmass, which is fortunate as August is already a strong contender for worst month of the year even sans tropical tribulations.

The top story today is Tropical Storm Debby, which is located over the north central Atlantic and moving rapidly northeast. This minimal tropical storm will transition to a non-tropical area of low pressure during the day on Thursday.

As the storm is approximately as far away from Florida as Seattle, Debby’s main impact is to underscore the rapid passage of time: the previous iteration of Tropical Storm Debby spread flooding rainfall to portions of North Florida over six years ago, in June 2012. Tempus fugit.

Other than little Debby, the Atlantic is quiet, with no notable disturbances or serious threats to monitor. The best chance for development over the next five to seven days is for another short-lived name waster in the open subtropical Atlantic early next week, which would not be a threat if it develops.

Overall, the eastern Atlantic remains punishingly dry and dusty, while an imperturbable axis of strong wind shear remains over the Caribbean and western Atlantic. These may weaken and allow a little more conducive environment for disturbances in the Main Development Region starting next week, but there are no specific features of concern even at that range.

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